ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5
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Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

82%YES
19%NO

Volume 24h

$356K

Liquidity

$47K

Bid / Ask

84% / 87%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

82%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+4.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

76%

Mar 22, 2026

Biggest move: +27.0pp

49% → 76%

Mar 22, 2026

Peak probability

76% YES — highest in period

Mar 22, 2026

Current

53% YES (-22.5pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 82%99%
Buy YES@ 82¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.7%
½ Kelly1.4%
Buy NO@ 19¢

-2.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5" at 82% YES / 18% NO. In the last 24 hours, $356K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 82%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 82%, NO 18%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1669462