ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
Share on X

Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

54%YES
47%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$55K

Bid / Ask

58% / 60%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

54%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1840495

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5: 54%, Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5: 44%, Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5): 43%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Current

54% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 54%99%
Buy YES@ 54¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 47¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this