Markets/Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev

Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev

Data as of Mar 24, 2026, 02:15 AM UTC

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES

100%NO

Volume 24h

$708K

Liquidity

$447K

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-4.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

5% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: -20.5pp

21% → 0%

Mar 24, 2026

Peak probability

21% YES — highest in period

Mar 24, 2026

Current

0% YES (-20.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $708K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1678708

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