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Markets/Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
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Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$448K

Liquidity

$315K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)

Full event →
NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
100%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
84%
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 1
9%
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9
6%
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
2%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-30.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

40% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: -19.0pp

28% → 10%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

10% YES (-19.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $448K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711600

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.