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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5
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Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$231K

Liquidity

$48K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-36.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

47% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: -32.0pp

42% → 10%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

10% YES (-32.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $231K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1793240

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.