Markets/Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 01:49 AM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

14%YES

86%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

13% / 15%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

14%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

12% YES

Mar 14, 2026

Peak probability

20% YES — highest in period

Mar 15, 2026

Current

14% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 17, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 14%99%

Buy YES@ 14¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 86¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Mistral AI IPO before 2027?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Mistral AI IPO before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/676790