Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5
Closed March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$126
Expert Signal
10%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
32% YES
Mar 24, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
54%
Mar 25, 2026
Biggest move: +19.5pp
34% → 54%
Mar 25, 2026
Peak probability
54% YES — highest in period
Mar 25, 2026
Current
49% YES (-4.5pp recent)
Mar 25, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+5.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1697222
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