Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$11K
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786042
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5: 44%, Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5: 38%, Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5: 4%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~15%.
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: +37.8pp
1% → 38%
Mar 31, 2026
Peak probability
38% YES — highest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Current
5% YES (-33.9pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+14.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this