Markets/Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5

Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5

Data as of Mar 27, 2026, 06:18 PM UTC

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

52%YES

48%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

51% / 54%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

52%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+26.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

26% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Mar 27, 2026

Biggest move: +11.0pp

39% → 50%

Mar 27, 2026

Current

52% YES (+2.5pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 52%99%

Buy YES@ 52¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 48¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5" at 52% YES / 48% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 52%, NO 48%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1735526

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