ForecastMind
Markets/Nets vs. Kings
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Nets vs. Kings

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

33%YES
68%NO

Volume 24h

$576K

Liquidity

$333K

Bid / Ask

32% / 33%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

33%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Nets vs. Kings

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

33% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Current

33% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 33%99%
Buy YES@ 33¢
Edge

+1.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 68¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Nets vs. Kings" at 33% YES / 67% NO. In the last 24 hours, $576K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 33%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Nets vs. Kings." Prediction market snapshot: YES 33%, NO 67%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1606809