ForecastMind
Markets/New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
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New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Closes July 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

64%YES
37%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$39K

Bid / Ask

62% / 64%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

64%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?" at 64% YES / 36% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 64%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on July 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 64%, NO 36%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/540817

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?: 64%, New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?: 59%.

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

64%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

64% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

64% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 64%99%
Buy YES@ 64¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%
½ Kelly0.7%
Buy NO@ 37¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this