New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$705K
Liquidity
$39K
Bid / Ask
97% / 98%
Spread
0.90pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Biggest move: +38.0pp
53% → 91%
Mar 26, 2026
Current
91% YES (+38.0pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $705K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711476
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Entity Hub
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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