ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
Share on X

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$471K

Liquidity

$300K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $471K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1809154

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.: 100%, New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: 100%, New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+57.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

43% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Trough probability

16% YES — lowest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

100%

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +84.5pp

16% → 100%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

100% YES (+84.5pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this