ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5
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Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

47%YES
53%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$54

Bid / Ask

6% / 97%

Spread

91.00pp

Expert Signal

47%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+18.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

34% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +13.0pp

34% → 47%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

52% YES (+1.5pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 47%99%
Buy YES@ 47¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 53¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 91.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1768961