Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$2K
Bid / Ask
11% / 42%
Spread
31.00pp
Expert Signal
27%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
30% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
55%
Mar 23, 2026
Biggest move: +25.5pp
30% → 55%
Mar 23, 2026
Peak probability
55% YES — highest in period
Mar 23, 2026
Current
43% YES (-12.5pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5" at 27% YES / 73% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 27%. The bid-ask spread is 31.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 27%, NO 73%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688100
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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