ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5
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Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5

Closed March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

47%YES
53%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$6

Bid / Ask

0% / 92%

Spread

91.40pp

Expert Signal

47%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+46.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: +48.0pp

1% → 49%

Mar 29, 2026

Peak probability

49% YES — highest in period

Mar 29, 2026

Current

47% YES (-1.9pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 47%99%
Buy YES@ 47¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 53¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 91.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1753093