Markets/Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:26 AM UTC

Closes January 1, 2027

Polymarket Price

9%YES

91%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$31K

Bid / Ask

8% / 10%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

8% YES

Mar 10, 2026

Current

9% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 17, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 9%99%

Buy YES@ 9¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 91¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 9%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/936450