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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5
Share on X

Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5

Closed April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

46%YES
54%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$4

Bid / Ask

2% / 89%

Spread

87.30pp

Expert Signal

46%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 87.30 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1841224

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 13.5: 98%, Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5: 46%.

Ousmane Dieng: Points O/U 13.5
98%

Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 3.5

46%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-18.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

41%

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: -10.0pp

51% → 41%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

33% YES (-8.0pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 46%99%
Buy YES@ 46¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 54¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this