ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5
Share on X

Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

77%YES
24%NO

Volume 24h

$239K

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

91% / 94%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

77%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5" at 77% YES / 23% NO. In the last 24 hours, $239K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 77%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 77%, NO 23%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1838583

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+9.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

53% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: +9.5pp

53% → 62%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

62% YES (+9.5pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 77%99%
Buy YES@ 77¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.1%
½ Kelly1.1%
Buy NO@ 24¢

-2.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this