ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5
Share on X

Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

83%YES
18%NO

Volume 24h

$46K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

84% / 90%

Spread

6.00pp

Expert Signal

83%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5" at 83% YES / 17% NO. In the last 24 hours, $46K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 83%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 83%, NO 17%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1842057

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+6.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

46% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: +8.0pp

44% → 52%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

52% YES (+8.0pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 83%99%
Buy YES@ 83¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.9%
½ Kelly1.4%
Buy NO@ 18¢

-2.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this