ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5
Share on X

Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5

Closed March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

66%YES
35%NO

Volume 24h

$39K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

64% / 83%

Spread

19.00pp

Expert Signal

52%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Pacers vs. Magic

Full event →

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+12.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

53% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: +11.0pp

55% → 66%

Mar 24, 2026

Current

66% YES (+11.0pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 66%99%
Buy YES@ 66¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%
½ Kelly0.7%
Buy NO@ 35¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5" at 66% YES / 34% NO. In the last 24 hours, $39K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 19.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 231.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 66%, NO 34%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691532