ForecastMind
Markets/Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5
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Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

46%YES
54%NO

Volume 24h

$30K

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

44% / 46%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

46%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Pacers vs. Magic

Full event →

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

47% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Current

46% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 46%99%
Buy YES@ 46¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 54¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $30K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688532