⊘

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Pacers vs. Spurs

Share on X

Pacers vs. Spurs

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 09:37 AM UTC

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

8%YES

93%NO

Volume 24h

$671K

Liquidity

$156K

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-50.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 15, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Mar 22, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

43%

Mar 15, 2026

Biggest move: -29.5pp

44% → 14%

Mar 16, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 8%99%

Buy YES@ 8¢

Edge

+6.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 93¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+6.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pacers vs. Spurs" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $671K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Pacers vs. Spurs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1597883

Go Deeper

⬡

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

◎

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

⇄

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.