Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 4.5
Closed April 9, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.4pp below current market price; market at 80% may be overpriced with macro signals showing USD/RUB -0.9% ↓, Oil +0.8% ↑, VIX -7.4% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$246K
Bid / Ask
78% / 82%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
80%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 4.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 80%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1576074
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 4.5: 100%, Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5: 59%, Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5: 48%.
Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 4.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
46% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
100%
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +56.0pp
44% → 100%
Apr 10, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this