ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
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Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5

Closed April 9, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 2 signals
58%FIS
1ppvs market 59%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -1.2pp below current market price; market at 59% may be overpriced with macro signals showing USD/RUB -0.9% ↓, Oil +1.3% ↑, VIX -7.4% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroUSD/RUB -0.9% ↓, Oil +1.3% ↑, VIX -7.4% ↓
-2.4pp
HistoryRUS neutral ELI → +1.0pp avg (n=48) [recent event]
-0.4pp
Live compute10:20 PM

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$45K

Bid / Ask

58% / 60%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

59%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 59%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1576075

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5: 100%, Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 4.5: 80%, Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5: 48%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+41.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

59% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Trough probability

19% YES — lowest in period

Apr 10, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

19%

Apr 10, 2026

Biggest move: +81.0pp

19% → 100%

Apr 10, 2026

Current

100% YES (+81.0pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this