ForecastMind
Markets/Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
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Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5

Closes April 9, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 2 signals
47%FIS
1ppvs market 48%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -0.8pp below current market price; market at 48% may be overpriced with macro signals showing USD/RUB -0.8% ↓, Oil +1.8% ↑, VIX -7.0% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroUSD/RUB -0.8% ↓, Oil +1.8% ↑, VIX -7.0% ↓
-1.5pp
HistoryRUS neutral ELI → +1.0pp avg (n=48) [recent event]
-0.4pp
Live compute08:27 PM

Polymarket Price

48%YES
53%NO

Volume 24h

$53K

Liquidity

$144K

Bid / Ask

47% / 48%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

48%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $53K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 48%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1576076

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 4.5: 79%, Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5: 59%, Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5: 48%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

48% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Current

48% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 48%99%
Buy YES@ 48¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 53¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this