ForecastMind
Markets/Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
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Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5

Closes April 8, 2026

Polymarket Price

85%YES
16%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$46K

Bid / Ask

84% / 85%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

85%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5" at 85% YES / 15% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 85%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 85%, NO 15%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1733264

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U : 85%, Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U : 64%, Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U : 24%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

85% YES

Apr 8, 2026

Current

85% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 85%99%
Buy YES@ 85¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.2%
½ Kelly1.6%
Buy NO@ 16¢

-3.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this