Markets/Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 21.5

Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 21.5

Data as of Mar 25, 2026, 08:59 PM UTC

Closes March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES

62%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

20% / 53%

Spread

33.00pp

Expert Signal

39%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-11.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

46% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Trough probability

34% YES — lowest in period

Mar 25, 2026

Biggest move: -15.0pp

49% → 34%

Mar 25, 2026

Current

34% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 39%99%

Buy YES@ 39¢

Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%

½ Kelly0.4%

Buy NO@ 62¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 21.5" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 33.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 21.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711915

Go Deeper

⬡

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

◎

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

⇄

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.

Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.