Markets/Paul George: Points O/U 14.5

Paul George: Points O/U 14.5

Data as of Mar 25, 2026, 06:14 PM UTC

Closes March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

80%YES

21%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

66% / 93%

Spread

27.00pp

Expert Signal

80%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+14.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

65% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Biggest move: +14.5pp

65% → 80%

Mar 25, 2026

Peak probability

80% YES — highest in period

Mar 25, 2026

Current

80% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 80%99%

Buy YES@ 80¢

Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.4%

½ Kelly1.2%

Buy NO@ 20¢

-2.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Paul George: Points O/U 14.5" at 80% YES / 20% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 80%. The bid-ask spread is 27.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Paul George: Points O/U 14.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 80%, NO 20%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1712504

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