Markets/Paul George: Points O/U 15.5

Paul George: Points O/U 15.5

Data as of Mar 25, 2026, 06:14 PM UTC

Closes March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

65%YES

35%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

64% / 66%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

65%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-9.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

75% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Biggest move: -14.5pp

80% → 65%

Mar 25, 2026

Current

65% YES (-14.5pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 65%99%

Buy YES@ 65¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 35¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Paul George: Points O/U 15.5" at 65% YES / 35% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 65%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Paul George: Points O/U 15.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 65%, NO 35%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711931

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