Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Paul George: Points O/U 17.5
Closed March 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$6
Bid / Ask
7% / 98%
Spread
91.00pp
Expert Signal
53%
Bayesian YES estimate
Event Distribution
Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Trough probability
30% YES — lowest in period
Mar 30, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
30%
Mar 30, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
53%
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: -24.0pp
54% → 30%
Mar 30, 2026
Current
53% YES (+22.5pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Paul George: Points O/U 17.5" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 91.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Paul George: Points O/U 17.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786022
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.