ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers
Share on X

Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

14%YES
86%NO

Volume 24h

$1.2M

Liquidity

$125K

Bid / Ask

23% / 24%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

14%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1742619

Outcome Markets11 markets

This event has 11 active outcome markets. Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 119.5: 100%, Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket14%anchor
kalshi_sports

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+16.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

32% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: +15.0pp

33% → 48%

Apr 3, 2026

Current

48% YES (+15.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 14%99%
Buy YES@ 14¢

-3.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 86¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.4%
½ Kelly1.7%
Buy NO+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this