Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 4.5
Closed April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$12K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 4.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1853223
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 15.5: 100%, Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 4.5: 0%.
Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 4.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
75% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Trough probability
50% YES — lowest in period
Apr 4, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 4, 2026
Biggest move: -24.5pp
75% → 50%
Apr 4, 2026
Current
50% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this