Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5
Closed April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$333
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1969360
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 2.5: 100%, Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5: 27%, Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5: 4%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
39% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Apr 15, 2026
Biggest move: -33.1pp
51% → 18%
Apr 15, 2026
Peak probability
51% YES — highest in period
Apr 15, 2026
Current
18% YES (-33.1pp recent)
Apr 15, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-2.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this