Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
Closed April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$3K
Expert Signal
93%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 93%. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1576095
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 4.5: 100%, Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5: 93%, Penguins vs. Devils: 77%.
Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
65% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Trough probability
50% YES — lowest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +42.5pp
50% → 93%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
93% YES (+42.5pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
-6.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this