Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5
Closed March 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
10% / 33%
Spread
23.00pp
Expert Signal
7%
Bayesian YES estimate
Event Distribution
Penguins vs. Islanders
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
27% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: -18.0pp
27% → 9%
Mar 31, 2026
Current
9% YES (-18.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+7.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 23.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1492905
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.