ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
Share on X

Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5

Closed April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

91%YES
10%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

86% / 95%

Spread

9.00pp

Expert Signal

91%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5" at 91% YES / 9% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 91%. The bid-ask spread is 9.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 91%, NO 9%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1862104

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Pistons vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 115.5: 96%, Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5: 91%, Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5: 91%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Apr 4, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

50% YES (+1.5pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 91%99%
Buy YES@ 91¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly5.3%
½ Kelly2.6%
Buy NO@ 9¢

-5.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 5.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this