Markets/Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5

Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5

Data as of Mar 26, 2026, 07:39 PM UTC

Closes March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

34%YES

67%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

15% / 55%

Spread

40.00pp

Expert Signal

34%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+5.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

26% YES

Mar 26, 2026

Biggest move: +19.0pp

28% → 47%

Mar 26, 2026

Peak probability

47% YES — highest in period

Mar 26, 2026

Current

31% YES (-16.0pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 34%99%

Buy YES@ 34¢

Edge

+1.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%

½ Kelly0.4%

Buy NO@ 67¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5" at 34% YES / 66% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 34%. The bid-ask spread is 40.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 34%, NO 66%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1722816

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