Markets/Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC

Closes January 1, 2027

Polymarket Price

34%YES

66%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

33% / 35%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

34%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 34%99%

Buy YES@ 34¢

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EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 66¢

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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

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Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?" at 34% YES / 66% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 34%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 34%, NO 66%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1005344

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