ForecastMind
Markets/Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
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Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Closes January 1, 2027

Polymarket Price

68%YES
32%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

68% / 70%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

68%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 68%99%
Buy YES@ 68¢

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EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 32¢

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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?" at 68% YES / 32% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 68%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 68%, NO 32%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1005343