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Markets/Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
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Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

3%YES
97%NO
Vol 24h$31K
Liquidity$83K
Bid / Ask4% / 4%
Spread0.20pp
ClosesJun 30, 2026

FM Estimate

5%

Market Price

4%
Aligned
Macro fundamentals+1.4pp
Historical patterns-0.4pp
low confidence · 2 signals
Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. December 31, 2026: 10%, June 30: 3%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~87%.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10%

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

3%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

+0.0pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $31K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/958448