ForecastMind
Markets/Raptors vs. Pistons
Share on X

Raptors vs. Pistons

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

41%YES
60%NO

Volume 24h

$598K

Liquidity

$186K

Bid / Ask

40% / 41%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

41%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Raptors vs. Pistons" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $598K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Raptors vs. Pistons." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1716625

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5: 52%, Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5: 49%, Raptors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline: 43%.

Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
52%
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
49%
Raptors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline
43%

Raptors vs. Pistons

41%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

41% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Current

41% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 41%99%
Buy YES@ 41¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 60¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this