ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5
Share on X

Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

88%YES
13%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

91% / 93%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

88%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5" at 88% YES / 12% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 88%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 88%, NO 12%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1499923

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5: 100%, Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5: 88%, Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5: 79%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+7.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

60% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +8.0pp

59% → 67%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

67% YES (+8.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 88%99%
Buy YES@ 88¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.0%
½ Kelly2.0%
Buy NO@ 13¢

-4.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this