Markets/Remote IPO before 2027?

Remote IPO before 2027?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 04:29 AM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

61%YES

40%NO

Volume 24h

$913

Liquidity

$1K

Bid / Ask

59% / 63%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

61%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+43.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

17% YES

Feb 22, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

68%

Mar 17, 2026

Biggest move: +51.5pp

17% → 68%

Mar 17, 2026

Peak probability

68% YES — highest in period

Mar 17, 2026

Current

60% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 19, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 61%99%

Buy YES@ 61¢

Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.3%

½ Kelly0.6%

Buy NO@ 40¢

-1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Remote IPO before 2027?" at 61% YES / 39% NO. In the last 24 hours, $913 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 61%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Remote IPO before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 61%, NO 39%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/676789