ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5
Share on X

Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

95%YES
6%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$5K

Expert Signal

60%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+27.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

59% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: +14.5pp

60% → 74%

Mar 24, 2026

Current

87% YES (+12.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 95%99%
Buy YES@ 95¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly9.1%
½ Kelly4.5%
Buy NO@ 6¢

-9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 9.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5" at 95% YES / 5% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 60%. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 95%, NO 5%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1687845