Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Rockets vs. Suns
Closed April 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2.0M
Liquidity
$62K
Bid / Ask
44% / 45%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
36%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Rockets vs. Suns" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Rockets vs. Suns." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1816010
This event has 9 active outcome markets. Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5: 79%, Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5: 76%, Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 221.5: 71%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
35%
Apr 8, 2026
Biggest move: -16.0pp
51% → 35%
Apr 8, 2026
Peak probability
67% YES — highest in period
Apr 4, 2026
Current
35% YES (-16.0pp recent)
Apr 8, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this