ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5
Share on X

Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5

Closed April 8, 2026

Polymarket Price

99%YES
2%NO

Volume 24h

$46K

Liquidity

$14K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-0.5pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $46K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1887578

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Rockets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5: 100%, Rockets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 107.5: 100%, Rockets vs. Suns: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+13.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Biggest move: +11.0pp

56% → 68%

Apr 8, 2026

Peak probability

68% YES — highest in period

Apr 8, 2026

Current

63% YES (-4.5pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly33.3%
½ Kelly16.7%
Buy NO@ 2¢

-33.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 33.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this