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Markets/Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Closes April 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$1.3M

Liquidity

$388K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.3M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1883385

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot : 100%, Valentin Vacherot vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo: : 100%.

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Ma

100%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+55.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

45% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

100%

Apr 6, 2026

Biggest move: +55.0pp

45% → 100%

Apr 6, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 6, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this