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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5

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Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 02:19 AM UTC

Closed March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

42%YES

58%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$32

Expert Signal

42%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+19.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

16% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Trough probability

1% YES — lowest in period

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: +34.0pp

1% → 35%

Mar 23, 2026

Current

35% YES (+34.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 42%99%

Buy YES@ 42¢

Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 58¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 42%. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1684581

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