ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5
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Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5

Closed April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES
97%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$8K

Expert Signal

3%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1816823

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 18.5: 3%, Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5: 1%, Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~96%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-29.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

35% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Trough probability

1% YES — lowest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: -33.9pp

35% → 1%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

5% YES (+4.3pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢

-13.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 97¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly13.0%
½ Kelly6.5%
Buy NO+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 13.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this